While the last two years of declines in new housing activity have been difficult for Central Texas, some housing market indicators show Austin is relatively balanced, according to a report from the Austin Chamber of Commerce.
Residential permits for 2008 will be at their lowest level in decades, at approximately 14,000 units, a total similar to the activity of the late 1990’s. But, according to research the Chamber cites from Residential Strategies Inc., Austin’s “employment change to residential permit ratio”--measured over a nearly two-decade period--is at a healthy 1 single family permit to 2.15 net new jobs.
The employment change-to-permit ratio is one metric used to examine the balance between supply and demand in the market, based on the assumption that new jobs create demand for new homes. In other words, for every 2.15 new jobs created since 1990, one single-family residential building permit has been issued.
For 2008 through November, the employment change to permit ratio is 1 to 1.42 for Austin. In 2007 the ratio was 1 to 1.87 locally.
Nationally in 2008, 852,529 permits were issued, but the net change in jobs was negative 1.8 million for the first 11 months of the year.
The Texas subsidiary of Aqua America Inc. has bought Cardinal Valley Water Co. and the Mountain Crest Water Co. in Hays County.
Bryn Mawr, Penn.-based Aqua America's (NYSE: WTR) Aqua Texas subsidiary bought the water companies that together service about 400 people for an undisclosed amount.
Aqua Texas President Bob Laughman said the company has operated the two water systems for years. Both systems are in an area surrounded by other water and wastewater systems owned by Aqua Texas and will be operated out of the company’s Wimberley office.
“These tuck-in acquisitions allow us to further complete our footprint in the Wimberley area,” said Aqua America Chairman and CEO Nicholas DeBenedictis.
In October, Aqua Texas purchased Saddle Club Water Co. Inc. in Weatherford, which serves approximately 500 residents. That transaction was valued at $420,000. Laughman said Aqua Texas, which has 107 employees around the state, is working on three or four more purchases that should be finalized in 2009.
“These three 2008 acquisitions in Texas—our fifth largest state operation—are a reaffirmation of our growth-through-acquisition strategy that allows Aqua to increase our economies of scale, and provide our technical and engineering expertise to smaller water systems,” said DeBenedictis.
Aqua America is a water and wastewater holding company with operating subsidiaries serving approximately 3 million people in 13 states.
Texas gained more residents than any other state between July 2007 and July 2008, according to new data from the U.S. Census Bureau .
The state gained about 484,000 people during the 12-month period. Second was California, which added 379,000 people, followed by North Carolina with 181,000, Georgia with 162,000 and Arizona with 147,000.
Michigan and Rhode Island were the only states to experience a population decline, according to the Census.
The Lone Star State’s 2 percent population growth rate during the period was the third-highest in the nation.
Utah was the nation’s fastest-growing state. It saw its population climb 2.5 percent to 2.7 million people, according to the Census. Arizona took the No. 2 spot with 2.3 percent population growth.
California remains the most populous of the 50 states with about 36.8 million people, followed by Texas with 24.3 million, New York with 19.5 million and Illinois with 12.9 million people.
The Texas Restaurant Association said the Lone Star State is expected to lead the country, in terms of sales growth in 2009.
Texas’ restaurant sector is expected to grow 4 percent with total sales expected to reach $35 billion in 2008, according to the National Restaurant Association’s 2009 Restaurant Industry Forecast.
Meantime, national restaurant industry sales are anticipated to reach $566 billion in 2009, with the industry employing 13 million individuals in 945,000 restaurant and food service outlets nationwide. The NRA forecasts that restaurant industry sales will increase by 2.5 percent over 2008.
Texas restaurants will employ more than one million Texans next year.
The number of restaurant jobs in the state is projected to grow 23.4 percent by 2019, resulting in 1.2 million new jobs.
“Even in these tough economic times, it is clear that the Texas restaurant industry is the best place to do business in the nation,” said Richie Jackson, TRA executive vice president/CEO. “While our country is coping with the weakest economy in decades, Texas restaurateurs continue to buck the trends and post positive sales and job growth.”
Thirty-year fixed-rate mortgages interest rates fell to their lowest level on record, according to Freddie Mac’s Primary Mortgage Market survey released Thursday.
The national average interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages was 5.19 percent for the week ending Dec. 18, the lowest level since McLean-based Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE) began the survey in 1971.
Rates were down from last week when it averaged 5.47 percent. A year ago, the mortgages averaged 6.14 percent.
The 15-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 4.92 percent, down from 5.2 percent last week and 5.79 percent a year ago.
The 15-year rates have not been lower since April 1, 2004, when they averaged 4.84 percent.
“The decline [in 30-year fixed-rate mortgages] was supported by the Federal Reserve announcement on December 16th, when it cut the federal funds target to a record low and stated it stood ready to expand its purchases of mortgage-related assets as conditions warrant,” said Frank Nothaft, Freddie Mac vice president and chief economist.
Five-year Treasury-indexed hybrid adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) averaged 5.60 percent this week, down from last week when it averaged 5.82 percent. A year ago, the 5-year ARM averaged 5.90 percent.
One-year Treasury-indexed ARMs averaged 4.94 percent this week, down from last week when it averaged 5.09 percent. At this time last year, the 1-year ARM averaged 5.51 percent.
Cyclists in Austin feel safer than those in other major Texas cities, according to a new report from the Center for Transportation Research at the University of Texas at Austin.
Almost 70 percent of respondents in the statewide survey said they feel bicycling is “very dangerous” or “somewhat dangerous” in terms of traffic accidents. By comparison, only 21 percent of respondents said bicycling is “somewhat dangerous” or “very dangerous” in the context of crime.
"This is quite intuitive, given the high levels of traffic congestion in Houston, Dallas and San Antonio," said Professor Chandra Bhat, who spearheaded the survey.
The survey, sponsored by the Texas Department of Transportation and the Federal Highway Administration, was conducted online and included more than 1,600 bicyclists in more than 100 Texas cities. The results are going to be used to help establish planning guidelines for the design of safe and efficient bicycle facilities and environments in Texas and around the country.
According to Bhat, the transportation sector accounts for about one-third of all human-generated greenhouse gas emissions. Within that sector, travel by personal vehicles accounts for nearly two-thirds of those emissions. And only 0.9 percent of all trips in the United States are made by bicycle. That number drops to 0.4 percent for commute trips—despite the fact that a significant amount of trips are deemed short-distance and can be made using a bike.
One finding that may have immediate relevance is that individuals who have a more positive perception of the quality of bicycle facilities have a higher propensity to bicycle to work. In October, Congress passed the Bicycle Commuter Act (as part of the bailout package), which starting in January will give companies a tax credit of up to $20 a month per employee who bicycles to work.
However, only about 14 percent of commuter bicyclists report the presence of bicycle lockers or safe storage rooms at their work place, and 72 percent of commuter bicyclists indicate they travel on unsigned roadways during their commute.
"The frequency and use of bicycling to work can potentially be increased by having bicycle lockers, bicycle racks and showers at work," Bhat said.
Other survey findings:
• Individuals living in Austin, Bryan and Fort Worth are more satisfied with the quality of bicycle facilities than bicyclists living in the rest of the state.
• Bicyclists prefer no parking on their route, which is logical because parking reduces sight distance. If parking is necessary, they prefer angled parking over parallel parking.
• Men and young bicyclists perceive the bicycle facilities in their community to be better than do women and older bicyclists.
• The commute distance of those who bicycle to work ranges from one-fourth of a mile to 35 miles. The average is about 6.5 miles.
• Bicycling is more common for non-commute reasons than for commuting. Those who bicycle to work tend to be young and environmentally conscious. Also, men are more likely to bike than women, regardless of the purpose of the bicycle trip.
To see the full report, click here. http://www.utexas.edu/research/ctr
Austin area gas prices dropped a whopping 15 cents in the last week, according to AAA Texas.
The latest report shows the average price for a gallon of regular unleaded at $1.60, down from $1.75 a week ago. A year ago, the average local price was $2.93 a gallon.
The statewide average is about $1.57 per gallon, which is 9 cents less than the national average, $1.66.
Currently, Amarillo drivers are seeing the cheapest gas in the state at about $1.43 per gallon, while El Paso drivers are paying the most, about $1.69.
AAA attributes the drop in energy prices to a soft demand for oil and gasoline, which may stem from increased unemployment, leading to a decrease in commercial activity.
Texas’ real estate foreclosures declined during the month of November, and are also down compared with the same month last year.
According to a November report released Dec. 11 by Irvine, Calif.-based RealtyTrac, a total of 7,843 homes in Texas entered the foreclosure process, a 20 percent drop from October 2008 filings and a 32 percent decline from filings from the same month last year.
Nationwide, foreclosure filings fell 7 percent from October postings but rose 28 percent compared with the same month last year. According to the report, 1 in every 488 households in the U.S. were in foreclosure in November.
“Foreclosure activity in November hit the lowest level we’ve seen since June thanks in part to recently enacted laws that have extended the foreclosure process in some states, along with more aggressive loan modification programs and self-imposed holiday foreclosure moratoriums introduced by some lenders,” said James Saccacio, CEO of RealtyTrac. “There are several indications, however, that this lower activity is simply a temporary lull before another foreclosure storm hits in the coming months.”
Saccacio said delinquencies on loans not yet in the foreclosure process jumped to nearly 7 percent in the third quarter, which is a record high according to the Mortgage Bankers Association. Many of those deliquencies could translate to more foreclosures in 2009, he said.
California, Florida and Michigan saw the most foreclosure activity in November, according to RealtyTrac’s report.
RealtyTrac figures are based on filings for all three phases of foreclosure: default, auction and real estate owned. (Real estate owned, or REO, means that the property has been foreclosed on and is now owned by a lender.)
New York Times - December 6, 2008
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/12/06/business/yourmoney/06money.html?8dpc=&_r=2&adxnnl=1&adxnnlx=1228597588-bC98zCjmFPyIGg1hakN0zw&pagewanted=print
Maybe It’s Time to Buy That First House By RON LIEBER Five or 10 years from now, when the financial crisis has ended and housing prices are up smartly once more, we will look in the rearview mirror and realize that we missed a golden age for first-time home buyers. Then, everyone who sat on their down payment savings accounts for a few years too long will kick themselves for not taking advantage of what may turn out to be the buying opportunity of a lifetime for those who can qualify for a mortgage. Unfortunately, we do not know when this golden age will begin, because we will be able to identify a bottom to the housing market only with the benefit of hindsight. But as it does with the stock market, the moment will probably arrive when everyone is feeling the most pessimistic. That moment is certainly getting closer. Housing prices have fallen drastically from their peak levels in many areas of the country. Rates on 30-year fixed-rate mortgages are already close to 5.5 percent, and this week there were suggestions that the federal government might try to drive them down to 4.5 percent, a truly incredible figure to be able to lock in for three decades. Meanwhile, first-time home buyers have the same advantage they have always had, which is that they do not have to sell their old place before buying a new one. That is an added advantage in areas where many available houses simply are not moving, because the people trying to sell them will not be bidding against you. If you’re hoping for a recovery in the housing market, you ought to be cheering on the first-time home buyers. When they purchase homes, their sellers are free to move on or move up, stimulating further sales. But if you are a potential first-time buyer yourself, or lending or giving the down payment to one, you are probably as frightened as you are tempted by all the “For Sale” signs that have become “On Sale” signs. So let’s quickly review some of the still-grim pricing data in certain areas — and consider the reasoning offered up by first-time buyers who have forged ahead anyhow. As is always the case with real estate, much depends on location. One study, “The Changing Prospects for Building Home Equity,” tries to predict where today’s first-time buyers in the 100 biggest metropolitan areas may actually have less home equity by 2012 as a result of continued price declines. The verdict was that buyers in 33 of the markets could see a decline by 2012, including potential six-figure drops on an average home in the New York City, Los Angeles, San Francisco and Seattle metropolitan areas. This is obviously scary. (I’ve linked to the study, a joint effort of the Center for Economic and Policy Research and the National Low Income Housing Coalition, from the version of this article at nytimes.com/yourmoney.) It’s worth noting, however, that these predictions came before the government made its most recent move to reduce borrowing costs. Also, the price projections in the study are based, in part, on the fact that the ratio of purchase prices to annual rents is still higher in many areas than the historical average, which is roughly 15 times rents. While past figures may well have some predictive value, I have never been convinced that first-time buyers compare a home that they could own and one that they would rent in purely or even primarily economic terms. When Jaime and Michael Proman moved this fall to Minneapolis, his hometown, from New York City, they craved a different sort of life after two years together in a 450-square-foot studio apartment. “We didn’t want a sterile apartment feel,” said Mr. Proman, who is 28 (his wife is 26). “We wanted something that was permanent and very much a reflection of us.” The fact is, in many parts of the country there are few if any attractive rentals for people looking to put down roots and enjoy the sort of amenities they may spot on cable television home improvement shows. Comparing a rental with a place that you may own seems almost pointless in these situations, especially for those who are now grown up enough to want to make their own decisions about décor without consulting the landlord. Still, for anyone feeling the urge to buy, a number of practical considerations have changed in the last year or two. The basics are back, like spending no more than 28 percent of your pretax income on mortgage payments, taxes and insurance. Even if a lender does not hold you to this when you go in for preapproval, you should hold yourself to it. You will also want to start now on any project to improve your credit score because it may take several months to get it above the 720 level that qualifies you for many of the best mortgage rates. John Ulzheimer, president of consumer education for credit.com, a consumer credit information and application site, suggests starting to pay down and put away credit cards months before you apply for a loan. That is because the credit scoring system could penalize you if you use a lot of credit each month, even if you always pay in full. Also, check your three credit reports (it’s free) at annualcreditreport.com and dispute errors. While no one can easily predict the likelihood of losing a job, Friday’s startling unemployment figures suggest the need for caution if you think you might be vulnerable. A. C. Panella, who teaches communications at Pasadena City College in California, waited until she had a tenure-track job before buying a home in the Highland Park section of Los Angeles with her partner, Amy Goldman, a lawyer for a nonprofit organization. “We could afford the mortgage payment on one salary, were something to come up,” Ms. Panella, 31, said. “It’s really about being able to stay within our means.” For many first-time home buyers, that philosophy stretches to the down payment, too. Ms. Panella and her partner put down 20 percent when they bought their home in September, as did the Promans when they bought their home in the Lowry Hill neighborhood of Minneapolis. Alison Nowak, 29, put just 3 percent down on a Federal Housing Administration-backed loan last month when she and her partner, Lacey Mamak, bought a $149,900, 800-square-foot home several miles south of where the Promans live. “Anything that is an opportunity also has a bit of risk,” she said. Her house was in foreclosure before a plumber bought it and fixed it up. “One way we mitigated it was that we bought a really tiny house in a very good neighborhood.” One other strategy might be to buy new instead of used. Ian Shepherdson, chief United States economist for the research firm High Frequency Economics, says he believes that a steep drop-off in inventory of new homes is coming soon, thanks to a rapid decrease in home builder activity. Since prices generally soften in the winter, it may make sense to start looking seriously once the mercury bottoms out. “If you look at new developments next spring, you may not have the choice you thought you would have or be in the bargaining position you thought you would be,” Mr. Shepherdson said. Also, if you wait after June 30, you will miss out on a $7,500 federal tax credit for income-eligible first-time home buyers that works like an interest-free loan. Finally, allow yourself to consider how it would feel if you bought and then prices dropped another 10 or 15 percent. It might not bother you if you plan to stick around. Plenty of people seem to be making a longer commitment to their homes. According to a survey that the National Association of Realtors released last month, typical first-time buyers plan to stay in their home 10 years, up from 7 last year. Perhaps people are more aware that they will not be able to build equity as rapidly as others did in the real estate boom. Or they simply have more confidence in hard, hometown assets now than in other markets. “We wouldn’t let another decline bother us,” said Michael Proman. “You can never time a bottom. This is a long-term investment for us, and it truly is the best investment we have in our portfolio right now.”
Maybe It’s Time to Buy That First House
By RON LIEBER
Five or 10 years from now, when the financial crisis has ended and housing prices are up smartly once more, we will look in the rearview mirror and realize that we missed a golden age for first-time home buyers. Then, everyone who sat on their down payment savings accounts for a few years too long will kick themselves for not taking advantage of what may turn out to be the buying opportunity of a lifetime for those who can qualify for a mortgage. Unfortunately, we do not know when this golden age will begin, because we will be able to identify a bottom to the housing market only with the benefit of hindsight. But as it does with the stock market, the moment will probably arrive when everyone is feeling the most pessimistic.
That moment is certainly getting closer. Housing prices have fallen drastically from their peak levels in many areas of the country. Rates on 30-year fixed-rate mortgages are already close to 5.5 percent, and this week there were suggestions that the federal government might try to drive them down to 4.5 percent, a truly incredible figure to be able to lock in for three decades. Meanwhile, first-time home buyers have the same advantage they have always had, which is that they do not have to sell their old place before buying a new one. That is an added advantage in areas where many available houses simply are not moving, because the people trying to sell them will not be bidding against you.
If you’re hoping for a recovery in the housing market, you ought to be cheering on the first-time home buyers. When they purchase homes, their sellers are free to move on or move up, stimulating further sales. But if you are a potential first-time buyer yourself, or lending or giving the down payment to one, you are probably as frightened as you are tempted by all the “For Sale” signs that have become “On Sale” signs. So let’s quickly review some of the still-grim pricing data in certain areas — and consider the reasoning offered up by first-time buyers who have forged ahead anyhow.
As is always the case with real estate, much depends on location. One study, “The Changing Prospects for Building Home Equity,” tries to predict where today’s first-time buyers in the 100 biggest metropolitan areas may actually have less home equity by 2012 as a result of continued price declines. The verdict was that buyers in 33 of the markets could see a decline by 2012, including potential six-figure drops on an average home in the New York City, Los Angeles, San Francisco and Seattle metropolitan areas. This is obviously scary. (I’ve linked to the study, a joint effort of the Center for Economic and Policy Research and the National Low Income Housing Coalition, from the version of this article at nytimes.com/yourmoney.) It’s worth noting, however, that these predictions came before the government made its most recent move to reduce borrowing costs. Also, the price projections in the study are based, in part, on the fact that the ratio of purchase prices to annual rents is still higher in many areas than the historical average, which is roughly 15 times rents. While past figures may well have some predictive value, I have never been convinced that first-time buyers compare a home that they could own and one that they would rent in purely or even primarily economic terms.
When Jaime and Michael Proman moved this fall to Minneapolis, his hometown, from New York City, they craved a different sort of life after two years together in a 450-square-foot studio apartment. “We didn’t want a sterile apartment feel,” said Mr. Proman, who is 28 (his wife is 26). “We wanted something that was permanent and very much a reflection of us.” The fact is, in many parts of the country there are few if any attractive rentals for people looking to put down roots and enjoy the sort of amenities they may spot on cable television home improvement shows. Comparing a rental with a place that you may own seems almost pointless in these situations, especially for those who are now grown up enough to want to make their own decisions about décor without consulting the landlord.
Still, for anyone feeling the urge to buy, a number of practical considerations have changed in the last year or two. The basics are back, like spending no more than 28 percent of your pretax income on mortgage payments, taxes and insurance. Even if a lender does not hold you to this when you go in for preapproval, you should hold yourself to it. You will also want to start now on any project to improve your credit score because it may take several months to get it above the 720 level that qualifies you for many of the best mortgage rates. John Ulzheimer, president of consumer education for credit.com, a consumer credit information and application site, suggests starting to pay down and put away credit cards months before you apply for a loan. That is because the credit scoring system could penalize you if you use a lot of credit each month, even if you always pay in full. Also, check your three credit reports (it’s free) at annualcreditreport.com and dispute errors.
While no one can easily predict the likelihood of losing a job, Friday’s startling unemployment figures suggest the need for caution if you think you might be vulnerable. A. C. Panella, who teaches communications at Pasadena City College in California, waited until she had a tenure-track job before buying a home in the Highland Park section of Los Angeles with her partner, Amy Goldman, a lawyer for a nonprofit organization. “We could afford the mortgage payment on one salary, were something to come up,” Ms. Panella, 31, said. “It’s really about being able to stay within our means.”
For many first-time home buyers, that philosophy stretches to the down payment, too. Ms. Panella and her partner put down 20 percent when they bought their home in September, as did the Promans when they bought their home in the Lowry Hill neighborhood of Minneapolis. Alison Nowak, 29, put just 3 percent down on a Federal Housing Administration-backed loan last month when she and her partner, Lacey Mamak, bought a $149,900, 800-square-foot home several miles south of where the Promans live. “Anything that is an opportunity also has a bit of risk,” she said. Her house was in foreclosure before a plumber bought it and fixed it up. “One way we mitigated it was that we bought a really tiny house in a very good neighborhood.”
One other strategy might be to buy new instead of used. Ian Shepherdson, chief United States economist for the research firm High Frequency Economics, says he believes that a steep drop-off in inventory of new homes is coming soon, thanks to a rapid decrease in home builder activity. Since prices generally soften in the winter, it may make sense to start looking seriously once the mercury bottoms out. “If you look at new developments next spring, you may not have the choice you thought you would have or be in the bargaining position you thought you would be,” Mr. Shepherdson said. Also, if you wait after June 30, you will miss out on a $7,500 federal tax credit for income-eligible first-time home buyers that works like an interest-free loan.
Finally, allow yourself to consider how it would feel if you bought and then prices dropped another 10 or 15 percent. It might not bother you if you plan to stick around. Plenty of people seem to be making a longer commitment to their homes. According to a survey that the National Association of Realtors released last month, typical first-time buyers plan to stay in their home 10 years, up from 7 last year. Perhaps people are more aware that they will not be able to build equity as rapidly as others did in the real estate boom. Or they simply have more confidence in hard, hometown assets now than in other markets.
“We wouldn’t let another decline bother us,” said Michael Proman. “You can never time a bottom. This is a long-term investment for us, and it truly is the best investment we have in our portfolio right now.”
Texas Attorney General Greg Abbott and state Sen. Craig Estes are proposing legislation that is meant to protect homeowners from foreclosure rescue scams.
The Foreclosure Rescue Fraud Prevention Act would require foreclosure prevention consultants to provide customers a written, plain language contract outlining their services agreement. It would also require that the consultants obtain their customers’ written consent, in the form of a signature, before beginning any services or accepting any fees. An additional requirement mandates a written disclosure statement instructing homeowners to contact an attorney or a housing counselor before signing mortgage rescue agreements.
“This morning I filed the Foreclosure Rescue Fraud Prevention Act, which was drafted in coordination with the attorney general’s office,” Estes said. “This issue has impacted constituents in my district and across the state, we are here today to send a very clear signal that these actions by unscrupulous mortgage foreclosure consultants will not be tolerated.”
The written agreements mandated by the proposed law would apply to both foreclosure prevention consulting and equity purchase contracts. Both types of agreements would have to include plain language cancellation procedures.
The proposed act would give the attorney general’s office expanded authority to crack down on mortgage rescue fraud scams under the Texas Deceptive Trade Practices Act.
The proposal would also place new limits on equity purchase agreements, requiring equity purchase agreement buyers to pay at least 82 percent of the property’s fair market value.
In announcing the legislative proposal on Dec. 10, Abbott also discussed the results of recent enforcement against an alleged mortgage rescue fraud scheme.
Abbot’s office charged Arizona-based Abell Mediation, Inc., and its president and vice-president, Elizabeth Cory and Michael Cory, with fraudulently claiming that their company could save homeowners from imminent foreclosure. Homeowners who were delinquent on mortgage payments responded to the defendants’ solicitation cards and Web site.
Under an agreement secured by the attorney general, the defendants are permanently enjoined from conducting a foreclosure mitigation business in the future. The defendant is also required to pay a total of $1.55 million in fines, restitution and attorneys’ fees.
The latest look at home foreclosure rates paints a bleak picture: As of the end of September, a record one in 10 American homeowners with a mortgage were either at least a month behind on their payments or in foreclosure.
The Mortgage Bankers Association said Friday the percentage of loans at least a month overdue or in foreclosure was up more than 9 percent in the April-June quarter, and up more than 7 percent from a year earlier.
A record 1.35 million homes were in foreclosure in the third quarter, driving the national foreclosure rate up to 2.97 percent, according to the MBA’s National Delinquency Survey. That’s a 76 percent increase from a year ago
At the same time, the number of homeowners falling behind on their mortgages rose to 7 percent, up from 5.6 percent a year ago, the association said.
While 20 states showed declines in the rate of foreclosure starts between the second and third quarters, every state but Alaska had an increase in the 90 days or more delinquent category, the MBA said in a release.
Nine states had foreclosure start rates above the national average: Nevada, Florida, Arizona and California, Michigan, Rhode Island, Illinois, Indiana and Ohio. The others were below the average. No specific numbers for Arizona were immediately available.
Employers slashed 533,000 jobs in November, the most in 34 years, catapulting the unemployment rate to 6.7 percent, the Labor Department said Friday.
The U.S. tipped into recession last December, a panel of experts declared earlier this week. Since the start of the recession, the economy has lost 1.9 million jobs.
WASHINGTON -- Financial industry lobbyists are urging the Treasury Department to take steps to lower mortgage rates and help stabilize the battered U.S. housing market.
Under one proposal, Treasury would seek to lower the rate on a 30-year mortgage to 4.5 percent by purchasing mortgage-backed securities from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, Scott Talbott, chief lobbyist at the Financial Services Roundtable, said Wednesday.
If enacted, such a plan would be an unprecedented opportunity for anyone with good credit and a solid income who could qualify for a mortgage at the lowest rates on records dating to the early 1960s, said Keith Gumbinger, senior vice president at financial publisher HSH Associates.
"You would have the mother of all re-fi booms," said mortgage industry consultant Howard Glaser.
The goal of the industry's proposal would be to take advantage of the unusually large difference, or spread, between mortgage rates and yields on government debt. On Wednesday, the yield on the 10-year Treasury note yield sank as low as 2.65 percent, while the national average rate on a 30-year fixed rate mortgages was 5.75 percent, according to HSH Associates.
In recent years, there has been about a 1.8 percentage point difference between the yield on a 10-year Treasury note and a 30-year mortgage rate, but that spread currently hovers around 3 percentage points.
Analysts said that the government could use its ability to borrow money at low rates to in essence flood the market for mortgage-backed securities. This increased demand would tend to push down the yield on mortgage securities sold by Fannie and Freddie, which now average about 5.5 percent because of investor concerns about default risks. Once those yields fall, the theory goes, lower mortgage rates should follow.
That would have two benefits for the economy: Immediately adding money to the pocketbooks of homeowners who can refinance their mortgages and reduce their monthly payments, and eventually help arrest the slide in home prices since much lower mortgage rates would allow more potential buyers to qualify for loans.
"The goal is drive mortgage rates so low that home prices not only stop falling but begin to rebound," said Greg McBride, senior financial analyst at Bankrate.com.
If the government does buy up mortgage securities, it would be similar to the effort announced last week by the Federal Reserve to purchase up to $500 billion of mortgage-backed securities from Fannie and Freddie. The two mortgage giants, which were seized by federal regulators in September, own or guarantee about half of the $11.5 trillion in U.S. outstanding home loan debt.
The Fed, however, did not announce a specific target for mortgage rates, which plunged about a half percentage point after the announcement.
That caused new mortgage applications to more than double last week, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association's weekly survey released Wednesday. Refinance volume more than tripled, and made up for nearly 70 percent of all applications.
Still, the industry plan is not likely to help borrowers whose credit is so damaged that banks don't want to lend to them.
"It doesn't do anything to help all the borrowers facing foreclosures," said Guy Cecala, publisher of Inside Mortgage Finance, a trade publication. "It's going to benefit the people who have equity in their home, who have decent credit and can refinance."
Treasury is considering several options, and could announce a decision as early as next week, industry sources said.
Treasury spokeswoman Brookly McLaughlin said she would not comment on speculation about actions the department may take in the future.
The proposal was reported Wednesday afternoon on The Wall Street Journal's Web site.Treasury could make such a proposal as part of a request for the second $350 billion of the $700 billion financial rescue fund, industry sources said.
Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson has been criticized by members of Congress for using the bailout money to shore up Wall Street banks, while not doing enough to help homeowners facing foreclosure.
In recent weeks, a diverse set of industry groups from real estate agents to carpet makers have called on lawmakers and the incoming administration of President-elect Barack Obama to subsidize lower mortgage rates and beef up tax credits to help stimulate housing demand.
The National Association of Realtors has been pushing a plan under which the federal government would spend $50 billion to lower mortgage rates. It says doing so would yield about 500,000 more home sales.
Meanwhile, the National Association of Home Builders is leading a new "Fix Housing First" coalition to push for aid to the ailing housing sector, including a tax credit of up to $22,000 for anyone who buys a home before the end of 2009.
Major companies from Freescale Semiconductor Inc. to Dell Inc. are partnering on a bold new effort to make Austin a clean energy hub.
Representatives from the city of Austin, the University of Texas’ Austin Technology Incubator and others gathered at the Clean Energy Venture Summit at UT today to announce details of the Pecan Street Project, which seeks to establish the infrastructure and business model for a vibrant clean energy sector in Central Texas.
“Austin has the opportunity to play the same role in the evolution of America’s energy economy that it did with the semiconductor boom in the ‘80s,” said Austin City Council member Brewster McCracken. “The Pecan Street Project will bring together the best talent from Texas and across the country to address the infrastructure, technology and policy challenges that stand between us and a cleaner, reliable, affordable and modernized electricity system.”
Nine corporate partners have signed on to the initiative so far, including GE Energy, Intel Corp., Oracle, Microsoft Corp. and others.
A recent inaugural report from the Austin-based clean energy advocacy group The Catalyst Project suggested that Texas, and Austin specifically, have an opportunity to capture a significant share of the emerging clean energy industry, but only if the city and state increase their competitiveness against other vying for their piece of the pie.
But leaders at Wednesday’s event said Austin is in a unique position to implement technology changes more quickly than competitors and offer its electric grid as a real-world proving ground for the next generation of energy technology.
“Several other cities are testing clean-generation or efficiency products,” McCracken says. “We’ll do that. But we’ll also test the software, storage and business models we need to make it all fit together."
The project includes designing a system that:
· delivers plentiful, reliable and affordable energy to Austin’s expanding population;
· is responsible with Texas’ natural resources;
· can eliminate the need for more power plants;
· produces a power plant’s worth of energy, generated within the city limits via renewable resources;
· Austin intends to share with cities across America and around the world.
The project will help cities map out the creation of the infrastructure it will take to power their economies and preserve the environment.
The corporate partners will assist in the project by providing staff resources and strategic guidance within their areas of expertise. Partners will also help the team identify technologies that can be pilot-tested on the local electrical grid once the initial phase of the project is completed.
Forbes magazine has ranked Austin Texas as one of the top 10 cities in America in which to raise a family. The rankings were determined by rating cost of living, quality of living, affordability of housing, health care costs and other factors. Austin has consistantly placed in the top 10 ranking of places to live in the United States.
Most Family Friendly
Median Annual Family Income: $66,064Average Annual Family Budget: $42,220Budget as Percent of Income: 64%
Sources: 2007 American Community Survey; Economic Policy Institute's Basic Family Budget Calculator.
U.S. 183A has officially gone cashless.
The vast majority of 183A users will not be impacted by the change because more than 85 percent of users already pay their tolls electronically with TxTag, according to the Central Texas Regional Mobility Authority, which operates the toll road. Drivers who do not have a TxTag sticker will still be able to use 183A but will be sent a bill in the mail after their vehicle license plates are photographed while on the road.
CTRMA says all-electronic tolling is expected to improve roadway safety, cut vehicle emissions and reduce fuel consumption, while reducing operating costs by more than $1 million annually. About 15 toll booth employees have been transferred or provided a severance package.
“We always planned for 183A to be a state-of-the-art all-electronic toll road, but when construction began in 2005, we weren’t sure if Central Texans were ready for the concept,” says CTRMA executive director Mike Heiligenstein. “To be safe, we initially collected cash at several of our toll plazas, but as TxTag usage soared past 80 percent, it became clear to us that the community was ready for cashless tolling.”
In addition to TxTag, 183A will accept TollTag or EZ TAG. According to CTRMA, TxTag is the easiest and most economical form of payment, saving customers 25 percent off the regular toll rate. TxTag can be obtained online at www.TxTag.org or via phone at 1-888-Go-TxTag or in person at the TxTag customer service center at 12719 Burnet Road.
U.S. 183A is Texas’s fifth all-electronic toll road.
Employment in the Austin-Round Rock region increased 1.9 percent between October 2007 and October 2008, outpacing many of Austin’s economic development competitors, according to data released Tuesday by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.
The local region added about 14,700 jobs in the 12-month period, bringing its total employment figure to roughly 781,000, according to the report. By comparison:
• San Jose, Calif. added 700 jobs for a 0.8 percent increase
• Raleigh, N.C. added 8,800 jobs for a 1.7 percent increase
• Nashville, Tenn. lost 2,200 jobs for a 0.3 percent decrease
• Seattle lost 1,900 jobs for a 0.1 percent decrease
• Phoenix lost nearly 50,000 jobs for a 2.3 percent decrease
• San Antonio added 17,900 jobs for a 2.9 percent increase
• Memphis, Tenn. lost 10,800 jobs for a 1.7 percent decrease
• Albany, NY remained stagnant.
Reports show better-than-expected results from online shopping over the Thanksgiving weekend.
Internet research firm ComScore said on Sunday that online spending was up 2 percent on Thanksgiving Day and Friday combined, compared with a year ago.
PayPal, the online payment service owned by eBay Inc. (Nasdaq: EBAY), said Black Friday transactions were up nearly 34 percent, compared with 2007.
Another research firm, ShopperTrak RCT, that tracks total retail sales at more than 50,000 stores said sales were up 3 percent to $10.6 billion on Black Friday, compared to a year ago.
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